)[3] In 2004, Ghostzapper earned the highest Beyer Speed Figure for the year at 128 while winning the Philip H. Iselin Stakes. Messier posted his on Feb. 6, 2022 in the Robert B. Lewis (G3), a 1 1/16 mile run which Messier won. His performance was given a Beyer Speed Figure of 126, which according to the Daily Racing Form, which publishes the figures, is the second-highest number since eponymous BSF creator Andrew Beyer . 0:49. We might not have seen the best from Secret Oath and Creative Minister, who have shown they can run competitivefigures while they continue to improve. The par for the same class at Thistledown is 59. ** Get a $150 deposit match from AmWager + Daily Rewards**, Kentucky Derby prep: Gotham Stakes 2023 odds and analysis, Work tab: Cody's Wish drills for 1st time since Breeders' Cup win, Head to Head: Handicapping Fountain of Youth 2023, Romans wins weight battle, now looks to Fountain of Youth, Ky. Derby prep: 1 horse can beat Yakteen 5 in San Felipe, These 19 horses have Saturday's highest speed figures. Un Ojo Ethereal Road and Happy Jack have the lowest career-best BSFs. Low 43F. table.tableizer-table { The team that puts out the Beyer speed figure numbers made it official Monday morning. Beyer Speed Figures had him with a top of 79 as a 2-year-old, but he earned a 94 for the San Vicente and a 98 for the San Felipe, so he's . At Belmont Park, maiden special weight races for older horses have a par of 87. At 1 3/16 miles, its the longest Derby prep race, which is why the market looks extremely bullish on Epicenter. Indy are both major stamina influences as broodmare sires and Olympiads family also produced 1987 Ashland Stakes winner Chic Shirine and 2015 Travers Stakes winner Keen Ice. On the Beyer scale, the top stakes horses in the United States and Canada typically earn numbers in the 100s, while extremely strong performances can rate in the 120s. She turned in her first workout on the Churchill Downs surface on Saturday, April 30, going four furlongs in 47.80 seconds. His Brisnet Ratings have improved from 76 to 98, and his TimeformUS numbers has gone from 98 to 116 in only three starts. For example, a horse who earns three consecutive figures of 102, and defeats a horse with three consecutive figures of 92, would indicate a projected figure of 102 for that race is accurate. Hes also contributed to Sports Illustrated and Fansided during his young writing career. .tableizer-table td { With a talented, 20-horse field expected to enter the starting gate, you NEED to see what racing insider and Beyer Speed Figure maker Bob Weir has to say before making any 2022 Kentucky Derby picks of your own. You can then presume that he is faster than . Hence, their status as longshots. background-color: #104E8B; Photo: Benoit. Kentucky Derby 2022: How do the speed figures stack up. The team that puts out the Beyer speed figure numbers made it official Monday morning. Comparatively, Rock Your World ran a 100-BSF, which paced the 2021 group. A Saratoga Springs-based racing insider and Beyer Speed Figure maker, Weir is a two-time qualifier for the prestigious National Horseplayers Championship in Las Vegas. This story was posted in Shared News and tagged Beyer Speed Figures, Flightline, Horse Racing, John Sadler, Runhappy Malibu S., Santa Anita, Terry Finley. Several other companies produce and sell power ratings, but most do not reveal their precise methodology. While Beyer has also noted that "speed figures tell you how fast a horse ran in the past; they do not necessarily predict how it will run today," their use as a handicapping tool is premised on their ability to shed light on how a horse is likely to run in its next start. For example, horse "A" has gotten Beyer Speed Figures of 90, 82, and 89 in his last three races. Wednesday College Basketball Best Bets: Will Texas Road Slump Continue? (Coady Photography), A Closer Look at 2022 Breeders Cup Classic Hopeful Olympiad, Grandview Equine, Cheyenne Stables, and LNJ Foxwoods. Is Epicenter as much of a standout as he seems? No specifics, he said. The Beyer Speed Figure is a system for rating the performance of Thoroughbred racehorses in North America designed in the early 1970s by Andrew Beyer, the syndicated horse racing columnist for The Washington Post. Note that Crown Pride and Summer Is Tomorrow do not have relevant Beyer Speed Figures due to running outside the United States. He has run consecutive 101 numbers, which puts him behind four other Preakness probables. The Beyer numbers trace their roots back to the work of Ray Taulbot's parallel-time chart (1959), with Beyer pointing out the flaw of adding a fixed amount of time to slow or fast times at other distances, driving the numbers out of proportion. Unlike many of his rivals, he still has room to catch up on speed figures. . Sometimes, variants are split during the day if the surface changes drastically enough. BSFs were created by Andy Beyer and are a system for rating the performance of horses in North America. Taiba ran his in a five-furlong Maiden Special Weight in March. Each week, we will analyze the top maiden winners by Beyer performances. We the People (2-1) Skippylongstocking (20-1) . 2022 Preakness Stakes morning-line odds, picks: Racing insider offers betting strategy for second leg of Triple Crown One week after hitting the Pick 4 at Belmont Park for $1,851, Beyer Speed Figure maker Bob Weir just revealed his picks and bets for the Preakness Stakes on Saturday at Pimlico Race Course That's not about to change. Call 1-800-GAMBLER if you have a gambling problem. Messier, Taiba and Epicenter have run the strongest of the horses in the field. Baby Yoda finished second in the Malibu, but was never a threat to Flightline, who won eased up by 11 1/2 lengths. Chance of rain 100%. Nest improved to an 82 Beyer and a 99 Equibase figure in the Suncoast. So some of the traditional rules may not apply. Six of the last eight horses to cross the finish line first in the Kentucky Derby have come from California. 111. 7 Winners on Monday! Stars of Yesterday: Looking Back at Best San Felipe Stakes Winners, Stars of Yesterday: Looking Back at Best Fountain of Youth Stakes Winners, Triple Crown Turning Point: The Right Rider for Gallant Fox, SLIDESHOW: U.S. In 1991, The Racing Times, an upstart newspaper founded by Steven Crist, put Beyer Speed Figures into print for the first time. [1], The record for the highest Beyer Speed figure is held by Groovy, the 1987 American Champion Sprint Horse who earned 133 and 132 in back-to-back races,[2] in the Roseben and True North Handicaps at six furlongs in 1987. Flightline was given a 118 Beyer figure for his sensational performance in Sunday's GI Runhappy Malibu S. at Santa Anita, which is the top figure assigned to any horse this year. Red Bank, NJ 07701, p: (732) 747-8060 Creating these figures is the result of a very complex process that involves mathematical formulas and judgment calls . The British Rail Class 35 is a class of mixed-traffic B-B diesel locomotive with hydraulic transmission.Because of their Mekydro-design hydraulic transmission units, the locomotives became known as the Hymeks.They were numbered D7000-D7100. Brett is an avid sports traveler and former Division-I football recruiter for Bowling Green and Texas State. When that venture folded, Daily Racing Form incorporated the Figures into its past performances beginning in April, 1992. Remember Ben with a gift to Thoroughbred aftercare, Subscribe for FREE to the Daily PDF or the News Alerts, Home Archive Shared News With A 118 Beyer, Flightline Heads Into 2022. In the Demoiselle, she ran a Beyer Speed Figure of 79 and an Equibase Speed Figure of 80, several lengths slower than the figures earned by the country's top 2-year-old filly, Echo Zulu. There's nothing written in stone, but I am mindful of the fact that I need to be careful.. In last year's Kentucky Derby, Medina Spirit posted a 102 Beyer Speed Figure when crossing the wire first. border: 1px solid #CCC; Messier and Taiba lead all contenders in the Beyer Speed Figure department. In Europe, Timeform has a similar rating scale that yields a number, but with a different value. The number of horses to run at least a 95 BSF is equal in the past two Derbies at nine apiece. Considering how poorly the Gazelle entrants ran in the Kentucky Oaks, it seems that the Gazelle was painfully weak this year, making the Wood look better than it really was. The most exciting two minutes in sports doubles as a betting bonanza as well. 1 . You can throw out superlative after superlative. The first published work on creating speed-figures was E.W. Morello performed the worst last time out, surprisingly after winning his first three races. That . I've got a good ownership group. Flightline had already made headlines before his first career start, selling for $1 million at the 2019 Fasig-Tipton Saratoga sale. If you are a casual sports fan getting ready to check out the Kentucky Derby and Triple Crown, you are going to hear plenty of talk about Beyer Speed Figures. He's a special horse. First published in book form in 1975, the Daily Racing Form began incorporating Beyer Speed Figures in a horse's past performances in 1992 and the system now assigns a Beyer number for each horse race. As any horses drop out and new horses are elevated into the field, we can adjust the chart accordingly. margin: 3px; He improved to 5-for-5 this season with a dominant 2 -length victory from just off the pace in the Grade 2 Stephen Foster that resulted in a career-best 123 Equibase Speed Figure and 111 Beyer Speed Figure. He's done a super job and he's made all the right moves. Flightline, now a 4-year-old, posted an impressive Beyer speed figure of 126 in the Pacific Classic, and continued a five-race string of excellence of 105, 114, 118, 112, and 126 leading into . Make sure you keep an eye out in the coming weeks for any changes to the Kentucky Derby field. Sprinter Turf Male Turf Female. He has produced multiple five-figure days at the track over the years, including a $60,000 Pick 6 at Del Mar in 2014. Only one horse has recorded a better Beyer speed figure than Flightline's 126 in the Pacific Classic, and none have matched his five-race string of excellence 105, 114, 118, 112, and 126. The bottom of the crop is equivalent in both years, with the lowest top-BSF at 83. It will be well thought out and he'll have him ready to run no matter where he winds up.. Call 1-800-GAMBLER if you have a gambling problem. If their calculations would produce a figure that defies logic (due to a timing error, or a sudden change in the condition of the track, for example) they will assign the race a figure that reflects the true ability of horses in the field. According to the speed figures, Arkansas is the circuit to avoid in this year's Kentucky Derby. Beyer explained that rating a horses ability on just the final time of the race was not good enough, because racing surfaces can vary from day to day based on the weather, how the track is maintained and other factors. Below we take a closer look at the Beyer Speed Figures, Brisnet Speed Ratings and TimeformUS Figures to determine his biggest threats. [14] Alysheba ran a 122 speed figure in his career. This Saturday will see the 154th running of New York's horse racing classic, and Belmont Stakes odds have opened for betting. ECLIPSE AWARD EQUIBASE SPEED FIGURE LEADERS LISTS 2023. With a horse who did not make his debut until April of his 3-year-old year and , who has raced just three times over the span of eight months, trainer John Sadler has been very deliberate with Flightline. She turned in one of the best Beyer Speed Figures of any 2-year-old in 2021, and her 92 Beyer in the Honeybee Stakes last month was considerably better than Un Ojo's 84 in winning the Rebel . . Longtime Washington Post columnist Andy Beyer created the Beyer Speed Figures, first appearing in his groundbreaking handicapping book Picking Sportsbooks in 1975. Young horses improve with time, typically at a rate of a point per month, so a par for 3-year-old $20,000 claimer could not be accurate in both January and December. border: 1px solid #CCC; border: 1px solid #CCC; Not a subscriber? To me, he's a gift.. Click here to sign up for the daily PDF or alerts. This year, Taiba,Messier, and Epicenterboth have topped that mark. Other Andrew Beyer Breeders Cup picks are on the main page. Bet with your head, not over it. Win.Use Promo Code: PLAYBONUS250PLAY NOW. Messier earned a 103 Beyer in the Robert B. Lewis Stakes (G3). He made a breakthrough in the early 1970s when he began to experiment with speed figures, and was confident enough in his methodology to write a book, Picking Winners, in 1975. Breeders Cup Promo - Get Up to $200 Back If Your First Bet Loses, Get Your First Single-Horse Win Wager Back, Register for DFS, receive a free NBA Entry. That is possible, Sadler said. I believe the number for the Wood was inflated after it was compared to the Gazelle Stakes (G3) at the same distance on the same card. If the top contenders in a Belmont MSW field regularly run in the 70s, the race may be a good spot for first-time starters or other entrants with no recent form. The top-end speed runs deeper in this field, as well. Sure, there are some extremely talented horses in the Longines Classic division including, among others, Hill n Dale Metropolitan Handicap winner Flightline, Pegasus World Cup victor Life Is Good, and Dubai World Cup Sponsored by Emirates Airline winner Country Grammer, but Olympiad has cemented his status as a top contender and a budding star for owners Grandview Equine, Cheyenne Stables, and LNJ Foxwoods. In a rare circumstance, he would have been favored even if the Kentucky Derby winner, Rich Strike, was running in the Preakness. He may just be the type of horse who is so fast than he needs ample time between races. Figure 1a shows the stack of the device used for the study with a scanning electron microscope . border: 1px solid #CCC; Epicenter is right there with a high of 120. [15][16], Beyer speculated that had his figures existed in 1973, Secretariat would have scored 139 in his classic 1973 win at the Belmont Stakes. Capped a run of three wins in four starts at Fair Grounds with a score in the Grade 2 Louisiana Derby, earning a career best Beyer Speed Figure of 102. As he grew up in Erie, Pa., attended Harvard College, and wrote a horse-racing column for the Washington Post, Andrew Beyers great passions were handicapping and betting. Used 2014 Audi A6 from Beyer Kia Falls Church in Falls Church, VA, 22046. His Beyer Speed Figure of 92 is only 4 points off the second best number. He has faster numbers across the board than Florida Derby winner White Abarrio and will likely be double the price. In short, there is much reason for optimism as it pertains to Olympiad being effective at 1 miles in the Longines Classic Nov. 5 at Keeneland. With A 118 Beyer, Flightline Heads Into 2022. There were three Kentucky Derby horses that posted 100+ BSFs. The winner of the Kentucky Derby will likely run their best career race, but having a history of 100+ BSF helps predict such a performance. The Grade 2, $400,000 Fountain of Youth Stakes , t Hallandale Beach, Fla. Trainers always are searchi Before handicapping the Grade 2, $400,000 San Feli History (1875-2022 Derby Results & Videos), Breeders' Cup Super Screener - Expert Picks. Andrew Beyer and his associates answer selected readers questions about Beyer Speed Figures. For winning the Arkansas Derby (G1), Cyberknife earned a Brisnet Figure three points lower than Happy Jack did while being dusted in the Santa Anita Derby. Beyer Speed Figures (BSF) is a common metric used to handicap horse racing and contextualize how well a horse ran in a given race. There is so much to look forward to out there.. (Of course, all horses have distances they prefer, and a sprinter who earns a big figure at six furlongs is unlikely to duplicate it in the Kentucky Derby.) Below well explore Kentucky Derby odds Beyer Speed Figure ratings. Considering that he is by Tapit and, therefore, should do his best running at longer distances and that Sadler-trained horses usually don't reach their peak until turning four, or even five, could Flightline actually get better? Note that unlike with Brisnet and Beyer, TimeformUS also takes pace into account when formulating its figures. Brisnet does not mark Epicenter as a standout. The first Saturday in May approaches, which means the Kentucky Derby is coming. Typically, Kentucky Derby field horses post BSF around or over 90. A horse doesnt have to have earned a triple-digit BSF before the Derby to win, but its also difficult to make an enormous leap of 10+ from a career-best in a prep race and win the Derby. Beyer Speed Figures express the most important factor in handicapping: how fast a horse has run in each of his starts. 2022 Preakness: Beyer Speed Figures For Every Horse. Medina Spirit posted a 101 Brisnet Speed Rating in last year's Kentucky Derby. Messier notched his 103 in the Robert B. Lewis on Feb. 6. We knew Olympiad was fast - he set a new track record of 1:42.01 for 1 1/16 miles at Fair Grounds in winning the Mineshaft Stakes in February - but watching him press a fast pace in the Stephen Foster and still finish with a final eighth of a . In the only . Signup and get a $200 deposit bonus! The Stephen Foster was the fifth straight triple-digit Beyer Speed Figure for Olympiad in 2022. In 1992, Beyer began making turf figures, which were made more accurate by his adjustment of the beaten-lengths chart, in which he uses the six-and-a-half furlong beaten-lengths chart for all races at that distance or longer, to reflect the nature of turf racing, where horses jockey for position most of the way, and then sprint home with almost all of their energy in reserve, making the competitive part of the race more akin to a sprint than to the race's actual distance. [8] It is noteworthy that Easy Goer's overall speed figures were substantially superior to principal rival Sunday Silence, despite Sunday Silence's slight three to one edge in their head-to-head races. While Flightline is expected to have a more complete campaign next year than he did this year, don't expect him to run seven or eight times. This page was last edited on 10 October 2022, at 07:24 (UTC). The Stephen Foster was the fifth straight triple-digit Beyer Speed Figure for Olympiad in 2022. 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